There are many predictors of the
success of a marriage, which include having of money, the having of children,
and the length of time a couple spends dating before they tie the knot.
Another big predictor, though, is age: The
closer a couple is when it comes to their respective birth years, the greater
their chances of avoiding divorce.
It is said that even a five-year age difference makes a couple 18 percent more
likely to get divorced, compared to a couple born on or around the same year.
That's according to a study that
compiled polling data from more than 3,000 recently married and divorced
Americans. Yes, American!
The study - the overall findings highlighted
last month - used a multivariate model to calculate the factors that seemed to
best predict the marriage's chances of success. (Or, at any rate, its chances
of not ending in divorce.) Its results were visualized by the data scientist
Randy Olson, who created a series of charts to illustrate the study's findings.
The set of visuals Olson released
mostly focuses on the matter of the age gap. A one-year discrepancy in a
couple's ages, the study found, makes them 3 percent more likely to divorce
(when compared to their same-aged counterparts); a 5-year difference, however,
makes them 18 percent more likely to split up. And a 10-year difference makes
them 39 percent more likely.
Once you enter large-gap
territory—the 20-year difference, the 30-year difference—the odds of divorce
are ... almost never in your favor.
If your partner happens to be 15
years older or younger than you are, that's not automatically a bad omen:
Statistics, of course, are not destiny.
But, as predictors, the study's
findings stand to reason. Marriage is, above all, about 50-50 partnership;
differences in ages also mean differences in life experience and cultural
reference points.
Generations may be an invention, but
they are meaningful nonetheless. So, with all the necessary caveats about
love's vagaries and mysteries, if you want a marriage that lasts, you should
probably try to marry someone your own age. Due apologies to Aaliyah and
perhaps those who married their papa’s age!
Sourced from
The Atlantic
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